In my last article we reviewed the military implications if the US and Israel carried out an attack on Iran. I will now discuss the types of weapons to be used and the catastrophic contamination of the entire Middle East region and the world should they be foolish enough to go ahead.
As with the “shock and awe” attack on Baghdad many missiles are likely to be fired from naval vessels located in the North of the Persian Gulf. Many of these missiles contain uranium components and would form part of an initial attack on the nuclear facilities in Iran. Then we have the “bunker busters” which are suitable for normal structures that are built of concrete, part of which may extend partially underground. These weapons also contain uranium components and can be launched from altitude as a standoff weapon and guided to the target by GPS. We then have another standoff weapon called JDAM which are large bombs which also contained uranium components.
The main thrust is likely to be by missiles as these can be launched outside of Iranian airspace, thus reducing the risk of human casualties. The US Cruise Missile is perfect for this application but it must also be understood that some of Israel’s missiles do carry nuclear warheads and one should also expect some new dirty weapons to be tested out, as was the case in Lebanon in 2006 and Gaza in 2008/9. So we are basically looking at both depleted uranium (DU) and enriched uranium (EU) contamination.
Finally we have the very large US weapon called the Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) that has been specifically designed for such an attack which can be launched from the US B-2 Stealth Bomber (2XMOP’s). This massive bomb can penetrate almost 200 feet into the ground and is vital for the success of the operation. One could also possibly expect the use of the Massive Ordnance Air blast Bomb (MOAB) which has had very little usage since it initial design. This bomb is normally dropped out of the back of a C130 Hercules aircraft. However this would be a sitting duck for the Iranian Air Force and their Air Defence Systems and is highly unlikely.
As I have pointed out previously there are many options for the US and Israel to carry out such an attack
A) Israeli Air Force attacks from Israel
B) Israeli and US Naval attacks from the Northern Persian Gulf
C) Israeli and US attacks from Northern and Southern Iraq
D) Possible US air attacks from their Afghanistan base in Bagram or elsewhere.
E) Possible US air attacks from around the Caspian Sea area.
The best and obvious option would be an attack from the US carrier group already in the Gulf with the assistance of at least 4 Israeli Warships and 2 Israeli Submarines all armed with missiles with nuclear potential.
We will now take a look at the environmental implications of the fall out from any damaged Iranian nuclear facilities and also the contamination from the radioactive aerosols released from the weapons used by both Israel and the US, all of which are extremely dangerous. Let’s first look at the scenario in and around the Middle East which will receive this radioactive contamination in many forms within the first couple of days of such an attack. I must remind readers that not one single country will avoid this fallout, including Israel itself. What is ironic here is that Israel has already nuked its own population, land, crops and water supply when it attacked Lebanon in 2006 and again Gaza in 2008/9…….in actual fact this self inflicted contamination goes back even further to the Yom Kippur War in October 1973 when the US first introduced the depleted uranium weapons to Israel against the Egyptians.
One finds it so hard to understand why Israel would aid the killing of its own troops and people by using such highly toxic weapons in the vicinity of Israel.
One can already see the results from this contamination in the very high levels of Cancer, Diabetes, Infertility etc that exists in Israel to this day.
I have compiled an air flow chart for the region to demonstrate how this deadly contamination will move around the region on any given day. It shows how these deadly aerosols drift on the wind at many levels and will continue to do so each time the wind picks up contaminated nanoparticles off the ground and whisks them away to some far distant land. They are totally indiscriminate and do not identify international borders. I have selected two levels, Low – Medium Level and Medium – High Level to show how the four corners of the earth eventually get covered. These nanoparticles remain suspended until they get rained out and obviously in area of draught never get rained out. They continue to be blown around in what is called secondary contamination such as strong winds, dust/sand storms, sea breezes and helicopter down wash etc.
Before explaining my chart I wish to draw attention that this is only assuming the attack is one way i.e. only Iran is attacked without reprisal. Obviously this will not be the case and one can therefore expect strategic targets in Israel and elsewhere to also be attacked adding more contamination to the areas shown on the map. It is also important to remember that the US in its usual manipulating and arrogant way is installing Missile defence systems in Israel and four other ally countries in the Gulf States which is more than likely to be the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait.
These air defence naval assets will include advanced radar and eight Patriot anti-ballistic missile batteries (two in each of the above countries). It is important for those countries to fully understand the implications in allowing the US to use their soil…….this makes them a prime target also as any US or Israeli military facility would be considered a valid target. As you can see this entire US/Israeli game goes well beyond the realms of a computer game and has extreme consequences. If the US or Israel strike the first blow one must clearly understand that what follows would be considered as self defence. This is truly a sad day to see fellow Islamic countries selling their soul to the US and for the second time turning their back on their brothers.
What they fail to understand is that the West and Israel really do not care about them and continue to use such weapons on Islamic soil contaminating the entire region and killing the genetics of their people. When will such countries fully understand that they have lost their dignity and pride all in the name of oil and economic greed? It is also noted that for the first time in the Jewish state's 60-year history, the U.S. has established a permanent military presence. The US now has an advanced X Band Radar facility in the Negev Desert to form as an early warning shield against any Iranian missiles. It takes around 10 minutes for any such missiles to reach Israel. The system will link in with the US Patriot anti-ballistic missile systems in Israel and other Arab States to form a shield.
In the following Contamination Air Flow Chart I have shown a white star as being the centre of attack against Iranian Nuclear Facilities. It would have been too complex to show all the many levels from sea level to 40,000 feet so to make it easier to understand I have selected just two levels. The lower level which is from sea level to mid level which is shown by red arrows and the mid to upper levels which is shown by the blue.
Again I wish to emphasize that the area within the white circle would be highly contaminated with the first couple of days of such an attack and no country would be spared from this fallout. It would be much more devastating than the effects of Chernobyl. The remaining areas of the world would be contaminated within 7-10 days of the attack. You can also see on this chart that certain weather patterns have caused tight circulations that are normally associated with areas of low pressure. Within these complex systems can be much rain or snow and this results in the radioactive nanoparticles getting rained out. This then offers many options for one to become a victim of this catastrophic fallout.
In areas that are dry and arid or those that are not currently getting rain the intake would be by inhalation. In areas of rain or snow the contamination will come to earth and can be absorbed via the skin or enters the food chain by rainout on the land, soil, crops and water and in that case we then get contamination via ingestion.
On this particular chart that I made up for this article one can see an intense low pressure area over Europe taking in Scandinavia, UK, Western Europe, Turkey, Mediterranean and the holiday resorts of North Africa etc. Just to the East of this we see another area that is not so tightly banded and this would cause contamination of the Western side of Russian, Ukraine and down to the Caspian Sea.
There is also another weak circulation over the Middle East and another one over India and South East Asia. Apart from these systems you will note that the main flow is from West to East and then over to the USA. What I have not included in this chart is the Jet Stream Activity that moves such contamination at extremely fast speeds around the world. Not exactly the sort of thing you want by “Express Delivery.”
The world must never allow this insanity by the US and Israel and must fully understand the implications if this attack goes ahead. The spreading of the radioactive nanoparticles will cause a massive rise in many forms of cancers; a big hike in diabetes, the contamination will directly attack the human DNA resulting in a total breakdown in our genetic code. This contamination also as the ability to enter the brain barrier with a multitude of mental health problems as well as tumors. There will be a sharp rise in still born babies and grossly disfigured babies. In Iraq the women in such places as Faluja and Basra are now frightened to have babies. Finally we will have a huge increase in infertility amongst both men and women.
One final point that should be mentioned is the fact that Iran may well already have a nuclear bomb with the compliments of the US, UK and Israeli governments….but that’s another story. Keep watching this space for Part 3 which will be the devastating economic impact on the US, UK, EU, Israel and further afield. Obviously the same small group of international bankers and the larger multi national oil companies and arms manufacturers will benefit from such a conflict but the ordinary people in this world will have to pay a very high price that will only effect them…..isn’t that always the case.
Peter Eyre – Middle East Consultant – 12/2/2010