Israel poised to strike Iran?

Again we see these hard hitting headlines pop in different sources of the media. We then read yes again another wonderful comment from Obama…The Nobel Peace Prize Recipient when we read the following in the Al Jazeera Blog :

US President Barack Obama has warned his Chinese counterpart that the United States would not be able to keep Israel from attacking Iranian nuclear installations for much longer. As the article admits, this was all part of the political game designed to coerce Beijing into signing on to Washington's latest sanctions package, and it failed; China has continued to distance itself from the anti-Iran position. The Chinese have even refused a Saudi-American initiative designed to end Chinese dependence on Iranian oil, which would allow China to agree to the sanctions, so why have "senior officials in Jerusalem" chosen to leak this to Haaretz at this time?

There is a saying in the North of England for such a statement from this astute president who is continuously on a war footing with whoever he can get involved with…….”This is absolutely Cods Whollop Mr. President”…..you and I know that such an operation is extremely risky and is pushing the envelope on safety and endurance for the Israeli Jet Jockeys. They have three alternative routes to get to their destination – Northern Route – Central Route – Southern Route and in all cases they require assistance and permission from many countries that they wish to overfly and more importantly they need the permission of the President and the US Government to be able to pull this off. Do not be brainwashed by this political spin coming out of the US and Israel because it’s not that simple.

Lets look at the options available to the IAF and also the implications. The Northern Route is the longest route and involves passing up the Eastern part of the Mediterranean into Turkish airspace (which is part of NATO).Turkey is also an Islamic country and may prefer not to become involved in this potential conflict. It would be economic suicide to accept such an arrangement whilst at the same time would put them in conflict with their Islamic Brothers. The other issue here is that the aircraft would either have to tech stop for fuel in Turkey or accept in flight refueling from the US, Turkey or another NATO partner, whilst in Turkish airspace. The aircraft would also need to enter Iraqi Airspace (Kurdistan) which is ally to the US and could refuel their but again there could be some political spin off from the Arab League.

The Central Route would take the aircraft close to the border with Syria and have to enter Jordanian Airspace and again over Iraq to target location and the Southern Route would take the aircraft down to the Gulf of Aqaba, into Saudi Arabia and again via Iraq Airspace. The Central Route is the most direct. The Northern Route is of the greatest risk as it channels the aircraft via a much narrow corridor prior to entry into Iranian Airspace and makes them a much easier target. The Southern Route like the Northern Route requires pushing the aircraft to the envelope with maximum weapons payload. Either way one can say with certainty the US has to be involved in the logistical sense and also in providing Spy Satellite Data and Airborne Command Centre etc.

Finally there is the insanity of such a threat from Israel and or the US in the catastrophic contamination plume that will result from such an attack. On top of this you have the reprisal attack by the Iranian Military and potential missiles hitting major centres in Israel. The radioactive aerosol plume will engulf the Middle East within a very short time frame and travel around the worlds within 7 – 14days with horrific consequences.

It is now New Years Eve and one can only hope that 2010 stops this mad Nobel Peace Prize President from making continuous threats and starts focusing on the poverty within the US and the many issues that have been created by the well planned economic collapse by the International Bankers, Wall Street, The City of London, Bilderberg Group, Trilareral Commission, Council for Foreign Relations, Chatham House, Rockefeller, Brzizinski, Kissenger, Cheney and so many more. We must also thank all the Friends of Israel Organizations who feed the political elite with their campaign funds in order to manipulate respective governments and finally we have the Christian and Jewish Zionist that cause so much pain for the people of Palestine.

To those that have caused so much pain, suffering and poverty I say your day will come and hopefully 2010 will be the start of a turn around in world politics and foreign policies…..maybe that’s wishful thinking but miracles can and do happen.

To those that just want peace and the basics in life I wish you all a Very Happy New Year for 2010. May your pain and suffering cease, may your level of poverty disappear and may you all reclaim your respective countries from the tentacles of the evil organizations.

Happy New Year and Bless you all.

Peter Eyre – Middle East Consultant 31/12/2009